Spa Day 1 7/23

[EarlySpeed]

Spa Day 1 7/23
Will list the nag/ rider /reason (trainer related)
If the trainer has a * before and after his name eg. *William Mott* he belongs to the 40% club for that particular race.
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Saratoga - July 23th, 2003 - Race 1
Estimated Local Post Time: 1:00 PM
Race Type: Maiden Special Weight
Breed: Thoroughbred race
Age Restriction: Three Year Old and Upward
Restriction: State Bred Purse: $41,000
Distance:Six Furlongs
Surface: Dirt

9 Karakorum's Appeal (NY)
Michael J. Luzzi

Jeff Odintz- Each year this guy scores with a msw state bred srinter off a 30 plus layoff.Maybe today???
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Saratoga - July 23th, 2003 - Race 2
Estimated Local Post Time: 1:32 PM
Race Type: Allowance
Breed: Thoroughbred race
Age Restriction: Three Year Old and Upward
Purse: $50,000
Distance:One And One Eighth Miles
Surface: Dirt

Frankel has one in here--but the software has him as a K3--the sign of a phony fav--
Could the upsetter be-

5 Levendis (NY)
Michael J. Luzzi

Del W. Carroll, II--<20-1 dirt alw and claiming 9-3-0-2 272%roi last 6 meets

As long as this guy stays below 20-1 he is profitable in this situation


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Saratoga - July 23th, 2003 - Race 4
Estimated Local Post Time: 2:36 PM
Race Type: Maiden Special Weight
Breed: Thoroughbred race
Age Restriction: Two Year Old
Purse: $45,000
Distance:Five And One Half Furlongs
Surface: Dirt

7 Distressed Debt (KY)
Richard Migliore

Richard A. Violette, Jr. His Spa record with 2 year old fts is a stellar 3 for 7-the Mig always gets one of his winners a meet riding for this guy--lets hope its today
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Saratoga - July 23th, 2003 - Race 6
Estimated Local Post Time: 3:40 PM
Race Type: Allowance
Breed: Thoroughbred race
Age Restriction: Three Year Old and Upward
Purse: $52,000
Distance:One Mile
Surface: Inner turf

7 J W Black (KY)
Edgar S. Prado

*Randy Schulhofer*-in alw or claimer 40k up has gone 7-4-2-0 last three meets. Prado in the irons is an historical bonus (2 wins for him last year)
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Saratoga - July 23th, 2003 - Race 8
Estimated Local Post Time: 4:45 PM
Race Type: Allowance
Breed: Thoroughbred race
Age Restriction: Four Year Old and Upward
Purse: $58,000
Distance:One And One Eighth Miles
Surface: Inner turf

3 Request for Parole (KY)
Jorge F. Chavez

Stanley M. Hough When Chavez climbs aboard one of Hough's nags and is 10-1 or greater watch out--has been profitable over the years. With the 3 big guns (5-7-9) taking down all the money it may happen!
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Saratoga - July 23th, 2003 - Race 10
Estimated Local Post Time: 5:50 PM
Race Type: Claiming
Breed: Thoroughbred race
Age Restriction: Three Year Old and Upward
Sex: Fillies and Mares
Purse: $27,000
Distance:Seven Furlongs
Surface: Dirt

Gonna list two nags here and try to beat the chalk
Pick one of the Klesaris brothers
Both are great with claimers
Robert is scary when Prado jumps aboard+
Steve (and Bobs) nag have good s/ware numbers

4 Tempting Choice (KY)
Edgar S. Prado

and/or

6 Gem's Wager (FL)
Shaun Bridgmohan

GOOD LUCK

[This message was edited by EarlySpeed on July 22, 2003 at 08:09 PM.]

 

[Bullchitna]

Earlyspeed- you really seem to know horseracing. How do you learn the basics for betting it without ever going to the track?

There's alot of books out there, any of them good?

To me it seems like in the end you just really need some "inside info"

 

[EarlySpeed]

Earlyspeed- you really seem to know horseracing. How do you learn the basics for betting it without ever going to the track?
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If you are a novice bet win place show only


There's alot of books out there, any of them good?
-----------------------------------------------
Inside the Claiming Game by Steve Collison

Modern Pace Handicapping by Tom Brohammer
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To me it seems like in the end you just really need some "inside info"

Ask any trainer on the backstretch and they will tell you their horse has a shot. Unless a race is crooked from the get--the winner usually has something in his past performances that will tip a win.

Two great websites other than our own forum here are

www.paceadvantage.com

www.homebased2.com (click on HTR)

 

[jwunderdog]

God I must be bored. Early, how are you betting these (win,place show...etc). Another sport I know noting about.

 

[EarlySpeed]

Dog

Best way to bet imo is right on the nose if the price is short and win place show if the price is long.

Exotics is a whole different ballgame that requires nerves of steel and a big bankroll.

I love the sequence bets-(pick 3 pick 4 etc.) but always seem to get screwed.

The track is sloppy today at the Spa so the turf races are gone. That leaves woefully few opportunities to score.

My advice?? If you see a listed horse going off at big balloons put whatever sheckels you can afford to lose and hope for the best!!!